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Arthritis Research & Therapy

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Arthritis Research & Therapy's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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The Cartilage Thickness score (CTh-Score) Captures High-resolution Cartilage Thickness Patterns Associated with Osteoarthritis Onset, Progression, and Knee Replacement: Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Margain, P.; Favre, J.; Omoumi, P.

2026-04-15 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350838 medRxiv
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Objective To evaluate the Cartilage Thickness Score (CTh-Score) as a quantitative measure of cartilage damage severity by assessing its association with three osteoarthritis (OA) milestones and comparing its performance with conventional morphometric measures (radiographic minimum joint space width (JSW) and regional average cartilage thickness). Methods Data were obtained from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) and the publicly available OAI CTh-Maps and CTh-Score dataset. Three matched case-control designs were used to represent major OA milestones: (i) incident radiographic OA onset, (ii) combined pain and structural progression, and (iii) knee replacement (KR) in the coming 2 years. Progression subjects were extracted from the FNIH Biomarkers Consortium cohort. Cases and controls were compared at 4 years (T-4Y), 2 years (T-2Y), and 0 years (T0) before the milestone. MRI-based CTh-Score and regional average cartilage thickness, as well as JSW, were analyzed cross-sectionally and longitudinally. Associations with case status were assessed using adjusted logistic regression models, and responsiveness was evaluated using longitudinal change and standardized response means. Results The onset cohort included 307 matched case-control pairs, the progression cohort 164 cases and 369 controls, and the KR cohort 81 cases and 324 controls. Across all three study designs, the CTh-Score significantly differentiated cases from controls at all timepoints. In the onset cohort, the CTh-Score was higher in future cases than controls at T-4Y (16.2 vs 12.6, p=0.007), T-2Y (23.5 vs 16.7, p<0.001), and T0 (39.8 vs 18.6, p<0.001), whereas JSW and regional thickness measures showed limited or later discrimination. Similar findings were observed for progression (43.2 vs 33.0 at T-4Y; p<0.001) and KR (55.4 vs 46.1 at T-4Y; p=0.02) cohorts. Longitudinally, CTh-Score changes differentiated cases from controls earlier and more consistently than JSW or regional average thickness, and its responsiveness was consistently the highest across OA milestones and time intervals. In adjusted models, the CTh-Score was independently associated with all outcomes at T-4Y and T-2Y, with odds ratios per standard deviation increase ranging from 1.3 to 2.2. Conclusion The CTh-Score captures high-resolution cartilage thickness patterns associated with OA onset, progression, and future knee replacement, outperforming conventional morphometric measures in early discrimination, responsiveness, and predictive association. These findings support CTh-Score as a sensitive quantitative marker of cartilage damage severity across the OA continuum.

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The Cartilage Thickness Score (CTh-Score) detects a structural effect of 2-year weight loss in individuals with and without radiographic osteoarthritis: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Margain, P.; Favre, J.; Berenbaum, F.; Omoumi, P.

2026-04-02 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.04.01.26349854 medRxiv
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Purpose To determine whether clinically significant weight loss (>5% of body weight) is associated with slower 2-year knee cartilage degeneration in individuals with and without radiographic osteoarthritis. This study used a cartilage structural assessment score derived from the spatial distribution of cartilage thickness, referred to as the Cartilage Thickness Score (CTh-Score). It is based on cartilage thickness patterns and scores the cartilage between 0 and 100, with higher scores indicating greater severity. Methods We conducted a retrospective matched cohort study within the Osteoarthritis Initiative. High-resolution cartilage thickness maps (CTh-Maps), along with their corresponding CTh-Score, were extracted from a public repository. Participants with complete radiographic and MRI data at baseline and 24 months were stratified by baseline Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade into non-radiographic OA (non-ROA; KL<2) and radiographic OA (ROA; KL>=2). Within strata, cases (>5% 2-year weight loss) were propensity score-matched 1:2 to weight-stable controls on age, sex, height, weight, KL grade, joint space width (JSW), KOOS Pain, baseline CTh-Score, and mean cartilage thickness in the medial and lateral femoral and tibial compartments. The primary outcome was 2-year change (delta) in CTh-Score, where higher values indicate worsening. Secondary outcomes were delta JSW, delta regional mean cartilage thickness, and delta KOOS Pain. Non-parametric tests were used. Results We included 164 cases and 328 controls in non-ROA, and 266 cases and 532 controls in ROA. Median (interquartile range) weight loss was -6.10 kg (-8.90, -4.70) versus +0.30 kg (-1.30, 2.20) in non-ROA and -6.80 kg (-9.10, -5.02) versus +0.40 kg (-1.40, 2.82) in ROA (both p<0.001). Weight loss was associated with significantly smaller 2-year increases in CTh-Score: in non-ROA, median 1.58 (0.61, 6.53) vs 3.14 (0.44, 7.12) (p=0.005); in ROA, median 1.69 (0.97, 6.71) vs 2.90 (0.19, 7.38) (p=0.004). No between-group differences were detected for delta JSW or delta regional mean cartilage thickness in any of the 4 ROIs. A trend toward greater KOOS Pain improvement with weight loss was observed in ROA: 2.75 (-3.35, 13.40) vs 0.00 (-5.60, 8.40) (p=0.06). Conclusions Achieving >5% weight loss over 2 years is associated with approximately 50% lower progression in median cartilage degeneration, as assessed by CTh-Score, in both non-ROA and ROA. No change was observed with conventional structural metrics. These findings support weight management as a structural disease-modifying strategy and highlight CTh-Score as a sensitive endpoint.

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BMI and Varus Malalignment Compound to Define a High-Risk Phenotype for Compartment-Specific Knee Osteoarthritis Progression

White, M. S.; Kogan, F.; Delp, S. L.; Chu, C. R.; Sherman, S. L.; Pai S, A.; Gold, G. E.; Chaudhari, A. S.; Gatti, A. A.

2026-04-17 orthopedics 10.64898/2026.04.15.26350819 medRxiv
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Objectives: Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is a leading cause of disability, yet which patients will experience structural decline remains unclear. Body mass index (BMI) and lower limb alignment are established risk factors for KOA, but their independent and interactive effects on compartment-specific cartilage loss and total knee replacement (TKR) have not been characterized at scale. Methods: We analyzed 5,832 limbs from 3,016 participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative followed over 7 years. Cartilage thickness in the weight-bearing medial and lateral femur and tibia was quantified, and lower limb alignment was measured using hip-knee-ankle (HKA) angle obtained from full-limb radiographs. Linear mixed-effects models estimated the independent and interactive effects of BMI and lower limb alignment on longitudinal cartilage thinning, and mixed-effects logistic regression modeled TKR risk. Results: In the medial compartment, BMI and varus alignment interacted multiplicatively, with their combined effect exceeding the sum of independent contributions (femur: p = 0.011; tibia: p < 0.001). At +10 kg/m2 BMI and +10 degrees varus, the rate of medial femur cartilage thinning was 243.5% faster than the reference rate. In the lateral compartment, BMI and valgus alignment were independently associated with faster cartilage thinning, with no significant interaction. TKR risk increased exponentially with HKA deviation (odds ratio [OR] = 1.38 per 1 degree; ~five-fold at 5 degrees malalignment) but was not associated with BMI. Conclusion: BMI and lower limb alignment influence structural KOA progression through compartment-specific pathways. The multiplicative interaction in the medial compartment identifies high BMI combined with varus malalignment as a discrete high-risk phenotype, with implications for clinical risk stratification and disease-modifying intervention design.

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Circulating Immune Cells are Associated with Non-Inflammatory Pain in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Mayer, M.; Therron, T.; Stumpf, C.; Langereis, M.; Lugo, G.; Aren, K.; Carns, M.; Song, J.; Lee, C. M.; Manada De Lobos, V.; Khan, M. D.; Dapas, M.; Muhammad, L.; Cuda, C. M.; Lee, Y.; Winter, D. R.

2026-04-03 immunology 10.64898/2026.03.31.715669 medRxiv
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Over half of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) report clinically meaningful pain, despite treatment with disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs). While joint inflammation is a known cause of pain in patients with rheumatic diseases, emerging data indicate that many patients also suffer from centralized or nociplastic pain. There is a critical unmet need to characterize the altered cellular state that distinguishes patients with centralized pain. In the IMPACT study, 39 RA patients with minimal joint inflammation but varying levels of pain underwent quantitative sensory testing (QST) to assess nociplastic pain, completed patient-reported outcome (PRO) surveys, and provided blood samples for immune profiling. Supervised and unsupervised analysis of the multi-parameter spectral flow cytometry data identified immune cell populations correlated with nociplastic pain and patient-reported pain intensity. Moreover, analyses of single-cell RNA-seq from a subset of 22 patients revealed differences in cell type proportions and differential expression between the high and low pain groups. These studies provide novel insights into the role of circulating immune cells in altered central nervous system (CNS) pain regulation in adults with RA.

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Type-1 interferon-driven innate and GZMK+ CD8 T cell activation precedes subclinical joint inflammation when rheumatoid arthritis is imminent

Tariq, F.; Martin, P.; Abacar, K.; Ye, W.; Sun, S.; Mackay, S.; Muldoon, D.; Sharrack, S.; Menon, M.; Al-Mossawi, H.; Buch, M. H.; Emery, P.; Newton, D.; Fairfax, B.; Mankia, K.

2026-03-30 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.03.27.26349561 medRxiv
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Rheumatoid arthritis is a prototypical autoimmune disease, characterised by prolonged systemic autoimmunity prior to organ-specific tissue inflammation. To achieve the contemporary goal of autoimmune disease prevention, a nuanced understanding of the transition from systemic autoimmunity to tissue-specific inflammation is critical. Here, we sought to identify immune signatures associated with the transition to subclinical joint inflammation detected by multi-joint ultrasound in anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA+)-positive individuals who imminently progress to RA. To achieve this, we performed single-cell transcriptomic and proteomic profiling on prospectively collected blood samples from high-risk ACPA+ imminent progressors, who were further stratified by the presence or absence of ultrasound (US)-detectable subclinical synovitis and compared them with ACPA+ non-progressors. We found type-1 interferon (IFN-I) activation in circulating CD14+ classical monocyte and GZMK+ CD8+ T cells preceding subclinical joint inflammation in ultrasound-negative (USneg) future progressors. In contrast, US-positive (USpos) future progressors exhibited a phenotypic shift in CD14+ classical monocytes towards IL1B+ expression and clonal expansion of GZMB+ cytotoxic CD8+ T cells at the onset of subclinical synovitis. Plasma proteomics also revealed a shift from Toll-like receptor-associated innate pathways in USneg future progressors toward effector and tissue-remodeling signatures in USpos future progressors. These findings suggest IFN-I-driven immune priming in specific immune subsets precedes the onset of subclinical joint inflammation, whereas tissue-directed inflammatory and cytotoxic programmes emerge at the onset of joint inflammation when clinical RA is imminent.

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Assessment of long-term damage and cardiovascular risk in juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus compared to juvenile dermatomyositis in adulthood

Li, J.; Ali, I.; Mailoo, T.; Doddi, S.; Raj, N.; Palmer, E.; Ciurtin, C.

2026-04-04 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.03.30.26349504 medRxiv
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Objectives: Juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE) and juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM) are systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (RMDs) with childhood-onset associated with increased risk of damage accumulation and cardiovascular disease (CVD) over the life course. Methods: Damage associated with JSLE and JDM has been assessed using validated outcome measures in a longitudinal single-centre cohort study with long-term follow-up, involving data collected both retrospectively and prospectively. Descriptive statistics, sensitivity and regression analyses have been used to evaluate predictors of damage and CVD-risk. Results: We assessed comparatively a JSLE cohort (n=76), with a mean age of 24.3 +/- 4.2 years and a JDM cohort (n=79) with a mean 20.1 +/-5.0 years (p<0.001), with matched duration of follow-up (10.0 +/- 4.2 vs. 11.0 +/- 5.1, respectively, p=0.68). Traditional CVD-risk factors, including hypertension (p=0.02), dyslipidaemia (p=0.0005), and higher total cholesterol (p=0.01) and LDL-cholesterol (p=0.02) levels at the last assessment were higher in JSLE vs. JDM. Over the disease course, 39 (51.3%) AYA with JSLE vs. 47 (59.4%) AYA with JDM accumulated damage (p=0.307), which was independently predicted by the body mass index in both cohorts (p=0.038 and p=0.026, respectively). The PDAY score was the only tool able to stratify AYA based on CVD-risk (median = 5 (4-13) points in JSLE vs. 0 (0-3) points in JDM, p=0.0001), as all the adult CVD-risk scores were very low in both cohorts. Conclusions: This is the first comparative evaluation of JSLE vs. JDM in adulthood, which highlighted increased damage burden and CVD-risk in JSLE that warrants further investigation.

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Investigating the Impact of Sex on Outcomes in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

Wong, S.; Shoop-Worrall, S.; Cleary, G.; McErlane, F.; Wedderburn, L. R.; Hyrich, K.; Ciurtin, C.

2026-03-26 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.03.24.26349201 medRxiv
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BackgroundJuvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) shows recognised sex differences, but their impact on treatment and early outcomes remains uncertain. This study assesses sex-specific patterns in onset, phenotype, treatment timing, and short- and medium-term outcomes in JIA. MethodsData were drawn from the Childhood Arthritis Prospective Study (CAPS), a UK multicentre inception cohort of 1,789 children presenting with a new episode of arthritis. Demographics, subtype distribution, clinical features, and 6- and 12-month outcomes were stratified by sex. Cox, Kaplan-Meier, and linear regression models assessed associations between sex and treatment initiation and 12-month outcomes. ResultsThe cohort was predominantly female (64.3%), with a median age at symptom onset of 6.8 years. Girls were younger than boys at onset (6.1 vs 7.8 years, p<0.0001) and diagnosis (7.0 vs 9.1 years, p<0.0001) and demonstrated a distinct bimodal age distribution. Diagnostic delay was short and comparable (median 4.4 months, p=0.8932). At diagnosis, girls had slightly higher active joint counts (p=0.0080, while inflammatory markers were similar except in psoriatic JIA, where females had higher ESR and CRP. After adjustment, sex was not associated with time to methotrexate (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.74-1.06) or biologic initiation (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.72-1.16). Outcomes at 6- and 12-month were largely comparable, with only ESR showing a modest male-favoured improvement at 12 months (p=0.0480). ConclusionsSex shaped age at onset and subtype distribution but did not independently influence treatment timing or early outcomes, underscoring the value of sex-aware analyses while confirming broadly comparable short-term trajectories in JIA. Evidence before this studyRecent evidence on sex effects in JIA is genuinely mixed: several cohorts have reported that girls, despite more severe onset, show greater resolution of objective inflammation, while a newer, large network analysis found females had poorer outcomes across composite disease activity and pain, pointing to potential inequities or phenotype-driven differences. In parallel, boys, especially in enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA), often exhibit more persistent activity and risk of damage. Overall, the picture is controversial: sex appears to shape biology, trajectory, and patient-reported burden in different ways across subtypes and settings, reinforcing the need for sex-stratified analyses, careful adjustment for confounders, and precision approaches that integrate biomarkers, subtype, and social context in JIA care. Added value of this studyThe study establishes that, although sex is closely linked to JIA subtype distribution and baseline clinical features, it does not independently determine the timing of methotrexate or biologic initiation within a UK inception cohort. By analysing one of Europes largest prospective multicentre datasets, it provides strong evidence that treatment decisions appear to be guided by disease characteristics rather than demographic bias. Within the context of the UK National Health Service (NHS), where universal access to paediatric rheumatology care is a core principle, this study provides important epidemiological evidence on sex and equity in JIA. Although clear sex differences were observed in age at onset, subtype distribution, and certain diagnostic features, these did not translate into disparities in treatment timing or medium-term disease burden. The absence of sex-based differences in 6 and 12-month outcomes, despite variation in baseline presentation, suggests that the NHS model of coordinated, guideline-driven care may help buffer against inequities that might otherwise emerge in systems with variable access. These findings reinforce the value of population-based cohorts in evaluating equity within healthcare delivery and highlight that, in this setting, sex does not appear to drive differential treatment or short-term clinical trajectories. Implications of all the available evidence.This study underscores sex as an important biological variable in JIA. Although treatment initiation was equitable and disease-driven, baseline phenotype differences and isolated effects on 12-month outcomes highlight how sex interacts with JIA subtype and initial disease burden. Prior work shows that females often present earlier with higher inflammatory burden, while males are more frequently affected by ERA, a subtype linked to treatment resistance and poorer long-term outcomes. Yet published findings remain inconsistent, with some cohorts reporting better resolution of inflammation in females and others suggesting poorer outcomes. Our findings suggest that coordinated and guideline-driven care may minimise sex-related disparities in JIA, even when underlying biological or phenotypic differences exist. The comparable medium-term trajectories observed across sexes support equitable paediatric rheumatology care in the UK and highlight the need to continue monitoring for structural or access-related inequities beyond clinical measures.

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Cross-Platform Transcriptomic Validation Identifies SERPINB2 as a Robust Chondrogenic Biomarker and Reveals Coordinated SERPIN Network Activation During Cartilage Lineage Commitment

Gonzalez-Reyes, B. E.; Hernandez-Lopez, E.; Leyva-Gonzalez, G.; Herrera-Camarena, M. C.; Gonzalez-Ruiz, A. G.; Pena-Rodriguez, L. L.; Espinosa-Morales, C.; Rojas-Berges, I.; Villamil-Galvan, R. M.; Estrada-Elorza, M. d. C.; Martinez-Nava, G. A.; Martinez-Mayorga, K.; Cuz-Lemini, M.; Granados-Montiel, J.

2026-03-31 cell biology 10.64898/2026.03.29.713197 medRxiv
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ObjectiveTo validate SERPINB2 and SERPINA9 as chondrogenic biomarker candidates across independent transcriptomic platforms and cell sources, to characterise the complete SERPIN expression landscape during kartogenin (KGN)-induced chondrogenic differentiation of human mesenchymal stem cells (hMSCs), and to identify novel SERPIN biomarker candidates and their signalling context during cartilage lineage commitment. DesignMulti-platform transcriptomic analysis across three independent datasets: (i) Affymetrix HGU133+2 microarray of KGN-induced chondrocytes versus undifferentiated hMSCs (ATCC source); (ii) Affymetrix Clariom D whole-transcriptome array of KGN-treated versus control hMSCs from an independent Mexican source (SINREG Laboratories); and (iii) previously published qPCR validation. Differential expression was computed using limma with Benjamini,Hochberg correction. SERPIN-focused cross-platform correlation and targeted pathway analysis were performed. ResultsThe Clariom D dataset yielded 1,869 differentially expressed genes (925 upregulated, 944 downregulated; FDR < 0.05) from 29,124 transcripts tested. SERPINB2 was concordantly upregulated across all three platforms (Clariom D: fold-change [FC] +3.54, FDR = 0.006; HGU133+2: log2FC = +3.29, nominal P = 0.027; qPCR confirmed), establishing it as one of the most reproducible transcriptomic signals in chondrogenic differentiation. In the direct Bone versus Cart comparison, SERPINB2 showed [~]45-fold chondrogenic enrichment (log2FC = -5.45, adjusted P < 0.0001). Cross-platform SERPIN correlation was significant (Pearson r = 0.54, P = 0.0025; n = 29 shared genes). Four additional SERPINs reached genome-wide significance on Clariom D: SERPINE2 (FC +2.57), SERPING1, SERPIND1, and SERPINE1. SERPINA9 was not replicated in the independent SINREG source, identifying it as a context-dependent marker. ConclusionsSERPINB2 is a robust, cross-platform chondrogenic biomarker with translational potential for osteoarthritis (OA) monitoring. The coordinated SERPIN programme activates a multi-layered proteolytic and signalling network during cartilage lineage commitment, positioning SERPINB2 as a functional regulator of the chondro-osteogenic lineage decision.

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A dual-function variant on chromosome 17 regulates circRNA expression and splicing in multiple sclerosis

Iniguez, S. G.; Iparraguirre, L.; Andres-Leon, E.; Crespillo, H.; Romarate, L.; Castillo-Trivino, T.; Urcelay, E.; Comabella, M.; Malhotra, S.; Montalban, X.; Ramio-Torrenta, L.; Quiroga-Varela, A.; Vandenbroeck, K.; Aldekoa, A.; Alcina, A.; Otaegui, D.; Matesanz, F.; Munoz-Culla, M.

2026-03-20 genetics 10.64898/2026.03.18.712599 medRxiv
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Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune demyelinating disease of the central nervous system with a complex etiology. Recent genomic studies highlight the contribution of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) in modulating gene expression and disease susceptibility. Given the emerging role of circular RNAs (circRNAs) in MS, we hypothesized that genetic variants may regulate circRNA expression through circRNA-specific eQTLs (circ-eQTLs). We performed a cis-circ-eQTL analysis integrating circRNA expression and whole-genome genotyping data from 30 MS patients and 18 healthy controls using a linear regression model adjusted for disease status and sex. Candidate circ-eQTLs were prioritized based on MS-associated regions and known splicing QTLs (sQTLs) from GTEx and validated in an independent cohort (67 MS, 64 controls). Association analysis in a larger cohort (2831 MS, 3191 controls) evaluated two candidate variants for MS risk. We identified 42,077 significant cis-circ-eQTLs and validated three. Two SNPs, rs7214410 and rs11079784, modulated hsa_circ_0106983 expression, and rs7214410 also acted as an sQTL affecting EFCAB13 splicing. rs7214410 showed stronger association with MS than rs11079784. Our findings reveal extensive genetic regulation of circRNA expression and highlight rs7214410 as a dual-function variant refining the MS susceptibility locus on chromosome 17.

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Reduced circulating anti-CXCR3 antibodies as a common hallmark bridging systemic autoimmunity and atherosclerosis

Miranda-Prieto, D.; Alperi-Lopez, M.; Perez-Alvarez, A. I.; Suarez-Diaz, S.; Alonso-Castro, S.; Heidecke, H.; Suarez, A.; Riemekasten, G.; Rodriguez-Carrio, J.

2026-03-30 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.03.27.26349475 medRxiv
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Background: immune dysregulation underlies cardiovascular risk excess in systemic autoimmune diseases, such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and Sjogren disease (SjD). However, exact mediators are unknown. Regulatory autoantibodies targeting G protein coupled receptors, including CXCR3, have emerged as modulators of immune and vascular homeostasis, but their role in autoimmunity remains ill defined. Our aim was to evaluate antiCXCR3 levels in systemic autoimmunity and their potential value as biomarkers. Methods: antiCXCR3 IgG serum levels were quantified in early RA (n=84), clinically suspect arthralgia (n=12), and controls (n=65). Established RA (n=103) and SjD (n=44) were recruited for validation. Atherosclerosis was assessed by carotid ultrasound. Cytokines were measured by multiplex immunoassays. Cardiometabolic related proteins were evaluated using high-throughput targeted proteomics. Publicly available datasets were used for validation. Results: antiCXCR3 antibodies were significantly reduced in early RA and arthralgia compared with controls, independently of disease activity, autoantibodies, or systemic inflammation. This finding was confirmed in validation cohorts. AntiCXCR3 were negatively associated with good therapeutic outcomes upon csDMARD at 6 and 12 months. Lower anti-CXCR3 levels were independently associated with atherosclerosis occurrence and extent across conditions. Incorporating antiCXCR3 into mSCORE improved risk stratification. AntiCXCR3 were related to proteomic signatures linked to immune activation and to apoptosis, chemotaxis, and cell adhesion in an atherosclerosis dependent manner. Transcriptomic analyses indicated compartment specific CXCR3 dysregulation. Conclusion: reduced antiCXCR3 antibodies represent a shared hallmark bridging systemic autoimmunity and atherosclerosis burden, shaping our understanding on the regulatory role of antibodies at the vascular immune interface. Clinical translation of anti-CXCR3 antibodies hold promise to improve risk stratification.

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Course of Itch from Systemic Sclerosis Onset: a Scleroderma Patient-Centred Intervention Network Cohort Longitudinal Study

Goldberg, M.; Carrier, M.-E.; Yosipovitch, G.; Dal Santo, C.; Kwakkenbos, L.; Frech, T.; Hoa, S.; Netchiporouk, E.; Misery, L.; Lapointe McKenzie, J.-A.; Mieszczak, T.; Rideout, S.; Sauve, M.; Philip, A.; Pope, J.; Bartlett, S. J.; Chaigne, B.; Fortune, C.; Gietzen, A.; Gottesman, K.; Guillot, G.; Hummers, L. K.; Lawrie-Jones, A.; Malcarne, V. L.; Mayes, M. D.; Perriault, Y.; Rice, D.; Richard, M.; Stempel, J.; Wojeck, R. K.; Mouthon, L.; Benedetti, A.; Thombs, B. D.

2026-04-02 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.03.31.26349869 medRxiv
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Background: Itch in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is thought to be most significant in early disease, but no longitudinal studies have examined itch course. We estimated itch presence and severity from SSc disease onset, accounting for participant age and time since onset at each assessment. Methods: People with SSc from the multinational Scleroderma Patient-centred Intervention Network Cohort completed past-week itch severity assessments (0 to 10 numerical rating scale) at enrolment and longitudinally at 3-month intervals. To estimate itch probability (score > 0) and, if present, itch severity, we used two-stage mixed effects models with basis splines to address non-linearity. The primary predictor was age at each assessment, partitioned into age at non-Raynaud phenomenon symptom onset and time since onset. We estimated prevalence and severity for onset ages of 20, 30, 40, 50 and 60 years and, for each onset age, at 2 years, 3 years, 4 years, 5 years, 7 years, and 5-year intervals 10 years to 35 years post-onset. Findings: We included 2173 participants with 19 733 itch assessments (mean [standard deviation] 9.1 [6.9] assessments). 1896 of 2173 (87.3%) participants were women. Mean age at enrolment was 54.7 (SD 12.7) years. 873 (40.2%) participants had diffuse cutaneous SSc. Predicted itch probability was between 35.0% (95% CI 31.8% to 38.5%) and 36.8% (95% CI 33.3% to 40.4%) at all onset age and disease duration combinations. Mean itch severity, when present, was moderate, between 4.1 (95% CI 4.1 to 4.1) and 4.4 (95% CI 4.3 to 4.4), for all age and duration combinations. Interpretation: Itch prevalence and mean severity were stable across onset ages and over time within onset ages. Findings suggest that itch is common in SSc and not as closely related to disease duration as previously thought. Research is needed to elucidate itch pathophysiology and identify effective management strategies.

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Aging modifies microstructure and material properties of mineralized cartilage and subchondral bone in the murine knee

Müller, L.; Blouin, S.; Pedrinazzi, E.; van Lenthe, G. H.; Hego, A.; Weinkamer, R.; Hartmann, M. A.; Ruffoni, D.

2026-04-06 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.04.02.716015 medRxiv
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The osteochondral junction is a specialized region ensuring the biomechanical and biological integration of the unmineralized articular cartilage with the subchondral bone through an intermediate layer of mineralized cartilage. This location is of clinical relevance, being the target of osteoarthritis. While aging is considered a risk factor for osteoarthritis, the interplay between microstructural and material changes during aging and predisposing to joint degeneration is not fully clear. This is especially true for mineralized cartilage, which remains understudied despite its critical role in load transfer from unmineralized articular cartilage to bone. We investigate age-related alterations of mineralized cartilage and subchondral bone in rat tibiae of adult and aged animals using a multimodal, high-resolution, correlative analysis. Our approach includes micro-computed tomography to measure microstructural features, second harmonic generation imaging to visualize collagen organization, quantitative backscattered electron imaging to map local mineral content, and nanoindentation to obtain mechanical properties. Mineralized cartilage and subchondral bone exhibited distinct age-related modifications. At the architectural level, the subchondral plate thickened and the trabecular network became coarser, those changes being different from those observed in the metaphysis. At the tissue level, mineralized cartilage was less mineralized than bone but exhibits a greater relative increase of mineral content with age, underlying differences in mineralization. A central observation is that aging led to an abrupt transition in mineral content and mechanical properties across the interface between unmineralized and mineralized cartilage, with a conceivable impact on stress localization. Overall, these changes may alter load transfer and contribute to age-related joint degeneration.

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The multifaceted role of acetamide derivative of Chalcone: Anti-inflammatory Action and Impact on Osteoclastogenesis, insights on NF-kB and MAPK pathways.

Anjum, S.; Akram, T.; Sharma, U.; Manhas, O.; Anal, J. M. H.; Kour, G.; Ahmed, Z.

2026-03-23 immunology 10.64898/2026.03.20.713114 medRxiv
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Inflammation serves as a vital physiological process essential for preserving health and countering illness. Yet, persistent inflammation drives osteoclastogenesis and ongoing bone erosion in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), mainly via macrophage activation and overproduction of pro-inflammatory cytokines like TNF-, IL-1{beta}, and IL-6. Limitations of prolonged conventional treatments underscore the need for safer small-molecule inhibitors that address both inflammation and osteoclast formation. Chalcones, natural plant defense compounds, exhibit diverse pharmacological properties including anti-inflammatory, anticancer, antibacterial, antifungal, and antiparasitic actions, owing to their characteristic reactive , {beta}- unsaturated carbonyl moiety. This study assessed chalcone derivative 7a for its anti-inflammatory effects in vitro and in vivo, alongside its capacity to modulate osteoclast differentiation, offering the inaugural demonstration of its dual anti-inflammatory and anti-osteoclastogenic properties. In LPS-stimulated macrophages, 7a substantially curtailed nitric oxide production, curbed pro-inflammatory cytokines (TNF-, IL-1{beta}, IL-6), and concentration-dependently diminished iNOS and COX-2 expression while inhibiting reactive oxygen species levels. In vivo, oral 7a dosing potently alleviated carrageenan-evoked paw swelling and restored serum lactate dehydrogenase and C-reactive protein to normalcy. In LPS-exposed mice, it further lowered systemic cytokines and rectified dysregulated biomarkers such as LDH, ALP, ALT, AST, creatinine, and urea. Moreover, in RANKL-stimulated osteoclast cultures, 7a markedly suppressed osteoclastogenesis by downregulating pivotal markers like tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase (TRAP) and matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9). Derivative 7a also enhances antioxidant defense--superoxide dismutase and catalase--via blockade of NF-{kappa}B and MAPK pathways. Overall, chalcone derivative 7a displays robust anti-inflammatory and anti-osteoclastogenic activity, positioning it as a compelling candidate for RA therapy.

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Regulation of Nucleus Pulposus Cell Phenotype Through RhoA Signaling and Microenvironment

Bond, G.; Kim, M. K. M.; Lisiewski, L.; Jacobsen, T.; Chahine, N.

2026-04-07 cell biology 10.64898/2026.04.05.716233 medRxiv
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Intervertebral disc degeneration is associated with loss of nucleus pulposus (NP) cell phenotype and extracellular matrix, both processes linked to changes in cytoskeletal contractility and cell shape. Here, we tested whether microenvironment-specific modulation of RhoA signaling can restore NP-like morphology and gene expression in NP cells cultured in 2D and in 3D alginate. In 2D monolayer culture, where cells are spread and mechanically activated, pharmacologic inhibition of RhoA with CT04 reduced RhoA activity, decreased actomyosin contractility gene expression, and shifted morphology toward a smaller, more circular phenotype. Bulk RNA sequencing showed that CT04 treatment increased expression of NP phenotypic and matrix-related genes including ACAN, GDF5, CHST3, and MUSTN1 while decreasing expression of catabolic and fibroblast-associated genes including ADAMTS1/9 and COL1, consistent with enrichment of extracellular matrix pathways. In contrast, RhoA activation with CN03 in 2D culture increased actin and phosphorylated myosin light chain intensity but produced limited phenotypic improvement. In 3D alginate, which minimizes integrin-mediated adhesion, baseline actomyosin markers were reduced relative to 2D culture. In alginate, RhoA activation with CN03 increased the amount of actin, phosphorylated myosin light chain, and actomyosin gene expression, yet also promoted a more compact, circular morphology and increased NP markers, including ACAN and KRT19 with repeated dosing. Across culture conditions, increased cell roundness was consistently associated with increased ACAN expression, indicating strong coupling between cytoskeletal state, morphology, and NP matrix programs. Together, these findings demonstrate that RhoA pathway perturbation can promote NP phenotypic gene expression in both 2D and 3D culture, but the direction of optimal modulation depends on the microenvironment, supporting RhoA signaling as a context-dependent therapeutic target for disc regeneration.

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Clonal autoantibodies identify microbial antigen as trigger of autoreactive B cells in systemic sclerosis

Neppelenbroek, S.; Liem, S. I. E.; Laar, T. v.; Hoekstra, E. M.; Wortel, C. M.; Levarht, E. W. N.; Fehres, C. M.; Dekker, N. H.; de Vries-Bouwstra, J. K.; Toes, R. E. M.; Scherer, H. U.

2026-03-19 immunology 10.64898/2026.03.17.712484 medRxiv
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ObjectivesTransformative observations demonstrate unprecedented success of B cell-depleting interventions in many human autoimmune diseases, calling for a deeper understanding of the triggers leading to B cell-mediated autoimmunity and its perpetuation in human disease. Here, we investigated whether the autoreactive B cell response targeting human topoisomerase 1 (TOP1), a hallmark of systemic sclerosis, could cross-react with TOP1 of microbial origin. MethodsHomologies between human and microbial TOP1 were analyzed using Foldseek. TOP1-reactive monoclonal antibodies from patient-derived, human TOP1-reactive B cell receptors were generated and assessed for reactivity against human TOP1 and TOP1 from a prototypic yeast, Saccharomyces cerevisiae (S. cerevisiae). Reactivity of polyclonal serum IgG from anti-TOP1 autoantibody (ATA)+, anti-centromere autoantibody (ACA)+ SSc patients and healthy donors (HDs) was tested. Finally, B cell lines were generated expressing human ATA to study B cell activation upon antigenic stimulation. ResultsStructural homologues of human TOP1 were found in many microbes, particularly in fungi. Taking TOP1 from S. cerevisiae as a prototype, microbial TOP1 was recognized by polyclonal patient IgG and by several monoclonal ATAs. Importantly, S. cerevisiae TOP1 also activated B cells expressing a patient-derived, human TOP1-reactive B cell receptor. Patients affected by interstitial lung disease most frequently showed recognition of microbial TOP1. ConclusionsThese findings identify fungi as potential drivers of immune dysregulation in human autoimmunity, specifically in SSc, highlighting microbial antigen cross-reactive cells as important therapeutic targets. Moreover, these data provide first functional evidence for a breach of B cell tolerance against human TOP1 triggered by cross-reactivity to fungal TOP1.

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The results of Transcriptome-wide Mendelian Randomization (TWMR) in large-scale populations can directly validate, across scales, the results of causal inference from deep learning combined with double machine learning on single-cell transcriptomes of human samples.

ye, w.; Jiang, X.; Shen, F.

2026-03-19 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.03.16.26348532 medRxiv
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ObjectiveAiming at the core problems prevalent in biomedical research, including the "translational distance", the difficulty in aligning cross-scale studies, and the lack of direct validation of single-cell systems biology models in human samples, this study aims to verify whether the results of transcriptome-wide Mendelian randomization (TWMR) based on large-scale populations are consistent with the causal inference results of deep learning combined with double machine learning (DML) using single-cell transcriptome data from human samples, to clarify whether statistical biology and systems biology can converge to the same biological truth, and provide methodological support for mechanism dissection and precision medicine research of complex diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA). MethodsThis study integrated multi-omics data to conduct a two-stage causal inference and cross-scale validation analysis. In the first stage, based on the summary statistics of RA genome-wide association study (GWAS) from 456,348 individuals of European ancestry in the UK Biobank (UKB), and cis-expression quantitative trait locus (cis-eQTL) data from 31,684 individuals in the eQTLGen Consortium, a two-sample Mendelian randomization approach was adopted. Transcriptome-wide causal effect analysis was performed using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, MR Egger regression, and weighted median method, and gene-level causal effect values were obtained after strict quality control and multiple testing correction. In the second stage, based on single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data from RA patients and healthy controls (RA group: 11 samples, 211,867 cells; Healthy control group: 38 samples, 456,631 cells), after preprocessing via the Seurat pipeline, batch effect correction, and cell type annotation, a hierarchical deep neural network was constructed to complete feature compression of high-dimensional expression data, and the DML framework was used to estimate the causal effects of genes on RA disease status. Finally, Pearson correlation analysis was performed to conduct cell type-specific cross-scale validation of gene-level causal effect values obtained by the two methods, and the validated model was used to quantify the causal effects of 16 RA-related pathways from the Reactome database. ResultsThis study confirmed that the gene causal effect values obtained from large-scale population TWMR analysis were significantly correlated with those calculated by the deep learning combined with DML model based on single-cell transcriptome data. Among them, the correlation was extremely significant (p<0.001) in core naive B cells (r=0.202, p=3.2e-05, n=414) and core naive CD4 T cells (r=0.102, p=0.037, n=412). The validated DML model successfully quantified the cell type-specific causal effect values of 16 RA-related signaling pathways. ConclusionStatistical biology and systems biology can converge to the same biological truth. The cross-scale consistency between the two can significantly shorten the "translational distance" in biomedical research, and realizes the direct validation of the single-cell systems biology causal model of human samples based on large-scale population genetic data, getting rid of the excessive dependence on animal/cell experimental models in traditional research. This research paradigm not only provides a new path for mechanism dissection and therapeutic target screening of complex diseases such as RA, but also provides a feasible solution for rare disease research to break through the limitation of GWAS sample size, and lays an important theoretical and methodological foundation for constructing standardized systems biology models of human complex diseases and promoting the development of precision medicine.

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Transcriptomic Profiling in Skeletal Muscle Identifies Associations With Knee Osteoarthritis: the Study of Muscle, Mobility and Aging (SOMMA)

Evans, D. S.; Mansfield, T. A.; Many, G. M.; Sagendorf, T. J.; Farsijani, S.; Goodpaster, B. H.; Sparks, L. M.; Lane, N. E.

2026-04-16 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350906 medRxiv
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Objectives. The association between skeletal muscle gene expression and knee osteoarthritis (OA) was examined among older adult participants of the Study of Muscle, Mobility and Aging (SOMMA). Methods. Inclusion criteria included knee radiographs and bulk RNA sequencing (RNAseq) in vastus lateralis muscle, resulting in 523 participants (56% female). Radiographic knee OA was determined by Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grades. Differential gene expression was analyzed using a control group (KL [&le;] 1, n = 326) and two nested case groups: (a) KL [&ge;] 2 (n = 197), (b) KL [&ge;] 3 (n = 112). Results. Compared with controls, there were 27 and 41 genes associated (FDR [&le;] 0.05) with KL [&ge;] 2 and KL [&ge;] 3, respectively, and 16 genes significantly associated in both contrasts. For 15 of the 16 genes, the association magnitude was larger with more severe OA (KL [&ge;] 3). Genes associated in both contrasts included brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) and interferon regulatory factor-2 (IRF2). Gene sets enriched in KL [&ge;] 2 and KL [&ge;] 3 contrasts included DNA repair and branched chain amino acid (BCAA) catabolism. Conclusions. Our results in older adult SOMMA participants indicate that knee OA is associated with genes and pathways expressed in skeletal muscle that are involved in pain sensitization, BCAA catabolism, muscle function preservation, calcium transport and storage, inflammation, and extracellular matrix remodeling. Additional longitudinal studies will be needed to determine how these genes could affect the progression of knee OA.

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Genomic network analysis links uveitis with systemic inflammatory diseases

Chau, K.; Allison, K.; Braithwaite, T.; Harley, I.; Hassman, L. M.

2026-03-26 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.03.24.26349228 medRxiv
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ObjectiveTo determine whether uveitis shares genetic similarity with extraocular immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs), we performed network analysis of putative causal genes associated with ocular inflammatory disease, IMIDs and eye-specific diseases, including age-related macular degeneration and monogenic disorders. MethodsWe identified putative causal genes for genome-wide significance variants from uveitis, IMIDs and ocular diseases using OpenTargets and published studies. To assess the gene-level pleiotropy between disease groups, we quantified the causal gene overlap between groups, and the Jaccard Similarity Indices for individual disease pairs. We then used a network approach to assess the molecular genetic similarity between diseases at a biological pathway level and comparative statistics to identify diseases with greater network similarity to uveitis. ResultsSeventy-five percent of the putative causal genes for uveitis are also causal for IMIDs, while no uveitis genes are shared with primary ocular disorders. Network analysis revealed that 1) uveitis genes are more closely networked with systemic IMIDs disease genes than with ocular-specific disease genes; and 2) significant network similarity links uveitis and specific IMIDs, such as ankylosing spondylitis and sarcoidosis. ConclusionsOverlapping causal genes and network similarity indicate that uveitis is predominantly an inflammatory disease, sharing genetic architecture with other IMIDs. Future studies aimed at dissecting genetic heterogeneity within uveitis may determine whether subgroups share common immune pathways that could nominate endotype-specific therapeutic approaches.

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Identification of LPO and RTN4R as Proteomic Signatures of Pain Persistence: An Exploratory Analysis of the UK Biobank

Lehrer, S.; Rheinstein, P.

2026-03-19 pain medicine 10.64898/2026.03.17.26348624 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe transition from acute to chronic pain represents a failure of physiological resolution. While systemic immune cell counts and androgen levels have been associated with this transition, the specific molecular mediators remain poorly understood. We sought to identify the functional proteomic drivers of long-term pain persistence and determine their independence from systemic factors. MethodsWe identified a longitudinal persistence cohort (N=3,221) within the UK Biobank who reported acute pain at baseline and were followed for resolution or persistence. Using the Olink Explore 3072 platform, we screened 2,923 serum proteins. Multivariable competition models were employed to evaluate the independent predictive power of top proteomic hits alongside systemic monocyte counts and circulating free testosterone levels, adjusted for age and sex. ResultsOur proteome-wide screen identified Lactoperoxidase (LPO) as a dominant and highly significant predictor of pain persistence. In the fully adjusted competition model, each standard deviation increase in LPO was associated with a 59% increase in the odds of persistence (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.25-2.07, p < 0.001). Notably, after accounting for LPO, systemic monocyte counts (OR 0.93, p = 0.55) and testosterone levels (OR 0.82, p = 0.46) were no longer significant predictors. Nogo Receptor (RTN4R) also remained a significant predictor in independent models (OR 1.44, p = 0.002). ConclusionsThese exploratory findings demonstrate that long-term pain persistence is associated with specific functional molecular signatures rather than broad systemic cell quantity. The dominance of LPO suggests that secretory peroxidase-driven pathways may be a primary barrier to pain resolution. Furthermore, the association of RTN4R identifies neural repair inhibition as a candidate driver of persistence. These proteins are candidates for further mechanistic investigation.

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Comprehensive bioinformatic analysis reveals novel potential diagnostic biomarkers associated with monocytes in osteoporosis

Qin, X.; Wen, B.; He, P.; Chen, Z.; Tan, S.; Mao, Z.

2026-03-24 genetics 10.64898/2026.03.20.713320 medRxiv
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Osteoporosis affects millions of women globally. In this study, we applied bioinformatics methods to screen for novel diagnostic biomarkers of osteoporosis in women using the GSE62402 and GSE56814 datasets. PCSK5, ZNF225, and H1FX were used to construct a diagnostic model. ROC, calibration, and decision curve analyses were performed to assess the diagnostic performance on the training (GSE56814) and external (GSE56815) datasets. The expression level of model genes was validated in GEO datasets. Furthermore, five transcription factors (ETS1, NOTCH1, MAZ, ERG, and FLI1) were identified as common upstream regulators of model genes. PCSK5, ZNF225, and H1FX serve as novel diagnostic biomarkers, providing new insights into the pathogenesis of and treatment strategies for osteoporosis in women.